Galleri MCED Test: Supporting Data From PATHFINDER 2 and NHS-Galleri
- In PATHFINDER 2, the test showed a PPV of 60.3% (95% CI, 54.5%-65.8%), a specificity rate of 99.6% (95% CI, 99.6%-99.7%), and a false-positive rate of 0.36%.
- In NHS-Galleri, the primary end point (a reduction in stage III/IV cancer incidence) was not met (incidence rate ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.92-1.14; P = .6324).
- NHS-Galleri met its prespecified secondary end points, with a 14% reduction in stage IV cancers among 12 prespecified types and a 16% increase in stage I to II cancer detection.
Over 12 months of follow-up, the test demonstrated a positive predictive value (PPV) of 60.3% (95% CI, 54.5%-65.8%), a specificity rate of 99.6% (95% CI, 99.6%-99.7%), and an episode sensitivity rate of 39.3% (95% CI, 34.9%-44.0%) across all cancers, rising to 69.8% (95% CI, 62.8%-76.0%) for the 12 cancers responsible for a majority of US cancer deaths. Among MCED-detected new primary cancers, 53.0% were diagnosed at stage I to II, and 67.6% were types without US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) grade A/B/C screening recommendations.
What were the primary results of the NHS-Galleri trial?
NHS-Galleri is the largest and only randomized, controlled clinical utility trial of an MCED test conducted to date.3 A total of 142,826 consented participants ages 50 to 77 years with no cancer diagnosis or treatment in the prior 3 years were randomly assigned 1:1 to an intervention arm (n = 71,122), in which MCED testing was performed and results returned, or a control arm (n = 71,128), in which samples were stored. The primary end point was a significant reduction in the incidence of late-stage (stage III/IV) cancer after 3 annual screening rounds.
The primary end point was not met. After 3 screening rounds, 706 stage III/IV cancers were diagnosed in the intervention arm vs 688 stage III/IV cancers in the control arm across 12 prespecified cancer types (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.03; 95% CI, 0.92-1.14; P = .6324). Investigators reported that the null result appeared to be driven by an increase in the numbers of stage III diagnoses from the investigational arm (n = 364) to the control arm (n = 291), whereas the numbers of stage IV diagnoses decreased from the investigational arm (n = 397) to the control arm (n = 342).
For the prespecified secondary end point of stage IV incidence among the 12 cancer types, the intervention arm showed an IRR of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.744-0.998), a 14% reduction that deepened to 22% and 26% in the second and third (incident) screening rounds, respectively. A shift toward earlier-stage detection was also observed, with a 16% increase in the number of stage I to II diagnoses (647 vs 559; relative risk, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.03-1.30).
What safety and performance data supported the premarket approval application submission of the Galleri MCED test?
In NHS-Galleri, aggregate MCED test performance over 3 screening rounds included a PPV of 52.0% (95% CI, 49.7%-54.3%), a specificity rate of 99.55% (95% CI, 99.52%-99.58%), and a cancer signal origin accuracy rate of 92.5% (95% CI, 90.7%-94.0%). Study-related adverse effects occurred in 0.52% of individuals in the intervention arm and 0.45% of those in the control arm, with no serious study-related AEs reported. An exploratory analysis showed a 25% reduction in cancers diagnosed through emergency presentation in the control (n = 286) vs intervention (n = 213) arms.
In PATHFINDER 2, the false positive rate was 0.36%, and 0.6% of MCED-tested participants underwent an invasive procedure following a positive test result.2 Five study-related AEs occurred during diagnostic evaluation, none of which were serious. The median time to diagnostic resolution was 48 days (Q1-Q3, 29-92) for participants with a positive result.
References
- GRAIL announces FDA advisory committee meeting to review premarket approval application for the Galleri multi-cancer early detection test. News release. GRAIL, Inc. August 7, 2026. Accessed August 11, 2026. https://grail.com/press-releases/grail-announces-fda-advisory-committee-meeting-to-review-premarket-approval-application-for-the-galleri-multi-cancer-early-detection-test/
- Giridhar KV, McDonnell CH III, Kurbegov D, et al. Safety and performance results from PATHFINDER 2, a registrational study of a multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test in an intended-use population. J Clin Oncol. 2026;44(suppl 17):LBA10509. doi:10.1200/JCO.2026.44.17_suppl.LBA10509
- Swanton RC, Johnson P, Round T, et al. NHS-Galleri: primary results from a randomised controlled trial to assess the clinical utility of a multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test in population screening. J Clin Oncol. 2026;44(suppl 17):LBA100. doi:10.1200/JCO.2026.44.17_suppl.LBA100